数学家计算巴西队和德国队是世界杯夺冠大热

Austrian mathematicians1 have revealed why you should put your money on either Brazil or Germany for the 2018 World Cup.

奥地利数学家解释了本届世界杯期间大家应该投注给巴西和德国的原因。

The two teams are neck-and-neck favourites to win the tournament, according to a set of millions of calculations based on hundreds of betting odds2.

Experts said while Brazil have a 16.6 percent probability of winning the title, defending world champions Germany are close behind with a 15.8 percent chance.

The research team has successfully predicted several tournament outcomes in the past, among them the correct world champions Spain in the 2010 World Cup and three out of four semi-finalists in the 2014 World Cup in Brazil.

Researchers at the University of Innsbruck in Austria combined the odds of 26 online bookmakers and betting exchanges with a complex set of statistical3 models.

Using these calculations to simulate all possible games and results, Brazil and Germany came out on top more than all other teams.

Though a final between the two seems likely, the models were unable to predict which of the teams would lift the trophy4.

Brazil’s probability of winning the final against Germany is just 50.6 percent, leaving the defending champions with a 49.4 percent chance in the final.

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1 mathematicians

数学家( mathematician的名词复数 )
参考例句:
Do you suppose our mathematicians are unequal to that? 你以为我们的数学家做不到这一点吗? 来自英汉文学
Mathematicians can solve problems with two variables. 数学家们可以用两个变数来解决问题。 来自哲学部分
2 odds
n.让步,机率,可能性,比率;胜败优劣之别
参考例句:
The odds are 5 to 1 that she will win.她获胜的机会是五比一。
Do you know the odds of winning the lottery once?你知道赢得一次彩票的几率多大吗?
3 statistical
adj.统计的,统计学的
参考例句:
He showed the price fluctuations in a statistical table.他用统计表显示价格的波动。
They’re making detailed statistical analysis.他们正在做具体的统计分析。
4 trophy
n.优胜旗,奖品,奖杯,战胜品,纪念品
参考例句:
The cup is a cherished trophy of the company.那只奖杯是该公司很珍惜的奖品。
He hung the lion’s head as a trophy.他把那狮子头挂起来作为狩猎纪念品。

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该日志由 1zanxin 于2018年06月11日发表在 杂谈 分类下,
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